60 comments
65 forecasters
Will Jeff Bezos undertake a "seismic" development in longevity before September 1st 2021?
30%chance
Ambiguous
The community gave this a 30% chance, and it resolved Ambiguous.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:May 17, 2021
Closes:Jun 15, 2021
Resolved:Apr 24, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:May 18, 2021
Will Jeff Bezos hold major political office in the United States before February 2033?
4% chance
96
When will Jeff Bezos first land on the moon?
Jan 2047
(Jun 2037 - >Jan 2050)
Jan 2047
(Jun 2037 - >Jan 2050)
26 forecasters
When will Altos Labs first trial an anti-aging intervention in humans?
17 Jul 2030
(06 Jun 2028 - Oct 2033)
17 Jul 2030
(06 Jun 2028 - Oct 2033)
20 forecasters