46 comments
79 forecasters
Will there be another donor on the scale of 2020 Good Ventures in the Effective Altruist space in 2026?
33%chance
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Authors:
Opened:Jun 30, 2021
Closes:May 31, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2027
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 2, 2021
How much money will Open Philanthropy grant in 2030?
891M $
(464M - 1.6B)
891M $
(464M - 1.6B)
19 forecasters
How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards AI risk reduction in 2030?
142M $
(64.2M - 395M)
142M $
(64.2M - 395M)
20 forecasters
How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards Scientific Research in 2030?
124M $
(62M - 221M)
124M $
(62M - 221M)
11 forecasters