Question

For the month of July 2021, what will the US Bureau of Labor Statistics report as the preliminary monthly nonfarm payroll number (in millions)?

Resolved:0.943

7 comments7

Total Forecasters28

Community Prediction

0.628

(0.276 - 0.941)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

	<-5	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>5
community	0.2%	0.2757	0.6277	0.9415	0.3%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—	—

Lower bound	community	My Prediction
<-5	0.2%	—
Quartiles
lower 25%	0.2757	—
median	0.6277	—
upper 75%	0.9415	—
Upper bound
>5	0.3%	—

What was the final result?0.943

Community Baseline Score

89.3

Community Peer Score

3.6

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Jun 15, 2021

Closes:

Aug 2, 2021

Resolves:

Aug 12, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 17, 2021

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Economy & Business

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