Question

What will be the seasonally adjusted CPI-U (with food and energy) for August 2021?

Resolved:0.3

5 comments5

Total Forecasters34

Community Prediction

0.485

(0.334 - 0.63)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

	<-2	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>2
community	0.1%	0.3339	0.4852	0.6304	0.2%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—	—

Lower bound	community	My Prediction
<-2	0.1%	—
Quartiles
lower 25%	0.3339	—
median	0.4852	—
upper 75%	0.6304	—
Upper bound
>2	0.2%	—

What was the final result?0.3

Community Baseline Score

82.2

Community Peer Score

2.5

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Jun 15, 2021

Closes:

Sep 7, 2021

Resolves:

Sep 14, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 17, 2021

Trade Signal Tournament

Economy & Business

2021 Leaderboard

What will the seasonally adjusted month over month headline CPI inflation be in the United States in the following months?

0.18

What will be the annual headline CPI inflation in the United States in the following years?

3.48

Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 2024?

45%