Question

For the month of August 2021, what will the US Bureau of Labor Statistics report as the preliminary monthly non-farm payroll number (in millions)?

Resolved:0.235

8 comments8

Total Forecasters31

Community Prediction

0.717

(0.422 - 0.985)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

	<-5	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>5
community	0.1%	0.4224	0.717	0.9854	0.1%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—	—

Lower bound	community	My Prediction
<-5	0.1%	—
Quartiles
lower 25%	0.4224	—
median	0.717	—
upper 75%	0.9854	—
Upper bound
>5	0.1%	—

What was the final result?0.235

Community Baseline Score

86.0

Community Peer Score

-0.6

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Jun 15, 2021

Closes:

Sep 2, 2021

Resolves:

Sep 3, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 17, 2021

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