🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

What will the total retail sales including food services be for September 2021?

Resolved :625615
5
10
Total Forecasters36
Community Prediction615 (603 - 625)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

My Prediction
community
<400
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>800
...
...
...
...
...
0.1%
602.9
614.6
625.2
0.2%

What was the final result?625

Community Baseline Score
86.0
Community Peer Score
4.0
Authors:
MetaculusOutlooksAlyssaStevens
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Trade Signal Tournament
Economy & Business
2021 Leaderboard
US Census Bureau
Retail
Foodservice

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