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2.5k forecasters

Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?

17%chance

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Mar 29, 2018

Closes:

Dec 31, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 29, 2018

Economy & Business

Will SpaceX land people on Mars before 2030?

Will SpaceX successfully land the following on Mars before 2035?

An uncrewed craft

At least one person

At least one person—and return them to Earth

Will NASA land people on Mars prior to 2030?