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124
comments
2.5k
forecasters
Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?
17%
chance
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Authors:
traviswfisher
Opened:
Mar 29, 2018
Closes:
Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:
Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:
Mar 29, 2018
Economy & Business
Technology
Space
News Match
SpaceX launch marks redemption for Starship. But time may be running out
CNN
•
Oct 14, 2025
SpaceX’s Starship Succeeds in Final Test Flight of 2025
Scientific American
•
Oct 14, 2025
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
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