🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

For the month of September 2021, what will the US Bureau of Labor Statistics report as the preliminary monthly non-farm payroll number (in millions)?

Resolved :0.1940.432
1
5
Total Forecasters35
Community Prediction0.432 (0.11 - 0.772)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

My Prediction
community
<-5
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>5
...
...
...
...
...
0.1%
0.1099
0.4323
0.7719
0.1%

What was the final result?0.194

Community Baseline Score
87.2
Community Peer Score
2.8
Authors:
MetaculusOutlooksAlyssaStevens
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Trade Signal Tournament
Economy & Business
2021 Leaderboard
Current Population Survey
Bureau of Labor Statistics

Comments

? comments