🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

What will be the preliminary value of the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in September 2021?

Resolved :7175.4
3
6
Total Forecasters36
Community Prediction75.4 (71.5 - 79.1)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<50
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>110
...
...
...
...
...
0.4%
71.46
75.37
79.12
0.2%

What was the final result?71

Community Baseline Score
-37.8
Community Peer Score
32.1
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
MetaculusOutlooksAlyssaStevens
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Trade Signal Tournament
Economy & Business
2021 Leaderboard
University of Michigan

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