Question

Will the MOVE Index breach 70 before 11-01-21?

Resolved:Yes

4 comments4

Total Forecasters28

Community Prediction

78%

(65% - 93%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 78%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-2.6

Community Peer Score

3.2

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Jun 15, 2021

Closes:

Oct 1, 2021

Resolves:

Oct 1, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 17, 2021

Trade Signal Tournament

Economy & Business

2021 Leaderboard

Financial Services Stock Performance

•Jun 20, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the maximum close value of the volatility index (VIX) for the latter half of 2025 and 2026?

50.5

Will the US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index exceed its 2020 peak before 2029?

85%

Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Jun 15, 2021

Closes:

Oct 1, 2021

Resolves:

Oct 1, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 17, 2021

Trade Signal Tournament

Economy & Business

2021 Leaderboard

Financial Services Stock Performance

•Jun 20, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the maximum close value of the volatility index (VIX) for the latter half of 2025 and 2026?

50.5

Will the US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index exceed its 2020 peak before 2029?

85%

Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?