257 forecasters

Will mainstream news media report that alien technology has visited our solar system before 2030?

1%chance

Forecast Timeline

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Add key factor

Authors:

Opened:

Jul 16, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 16, 2021

Natural Sciences

Stunning moment UFO deflects Hellfire missile ignites debate over 'non-human' technology

Daily Mail•Sep 11, 2025

US tries to shoot down mysterious UAP. Whistleblower video and what we know

USA Today•Sep 10, 2025

Declassified Video Shows US Trying to Shoot Down UFO

Newsweek•Sep 10, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch