Question
How many of the top 50 Effective Altruism Forum users by karma as of June 2021 will be active in 2026?
Total Forecasters13
Community Prediction
39.3 users
(32.5 users - 44.5 users)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 32.51 | — |
| median | 39.28 | — |
| upper 75% | 44.49 | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 4, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 6, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Jul 4, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 6, 2021