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97 forecasters

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97 forecasters

Nuclear Risk Tournament

Will there be at least one HEMP attack by 2024?

ResolvedNo

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0 comments14 forecasters

Number of HEMP Attacks by 2030

Current estimate

3 comments29 forecasters

HEMP Attacks Causing >10 Million Fatalities

2 comments81 forecasters

Will cyberattack targeting AI cause power blackout in the US before 2028?

2 comments64 forecasters

Fatal Non-state Nuclear Detonation by 2030

5 comments55 forecasters

Chinese Cyberattack on Taiwan Grid by 2030?

34 comments121 forecasters

Non-state actor develops a nuke by 2030

0 comments24 forecasters

First Detonation by 2050 Inadvertent

21 comments85 forecasters

Will nuclear wpn be dtntd in/above EU state by the following dates?

March 15, 2024result: No

March 15, 2025result: No

March 15, 2026result: No

March 15, 20270.2%