FORECAST
Facebook Twitter
  • Embed
  • Copy Link
    •
  • Approval
  • Set Reminder
  • Share private question
  • Unsubscribe from question
  • View Metaculus Prediction
  • {{qctrl.question.communityIsHidden ? 'Show' : 'Hide'}} Community Prediction
    •

    Your submission is now in Draft mode.

    Once it's ready, please submit your draft for review by our team of Community Moderators. Thank you!

    Submit Essay

    Once you submit your essay, you can no longer edit it.

    Pending

    This content now needs to be approved by community moderators.

    Submitted

    This essay was submitted and is waiting for review.

    Date Twin Prime Conjecture is resolved

    Created by casens on {{qctrl.question.created_time | dateStr}}
    Published by casens on {{qctrl.question.publish_time | dateStr}}

    Question

    Related Questions on Metaculus:

    Conjecture: There are infinitely many primes p such that p + 2 is also prime.

    In the last few years, the upper bound N for the statement “There are infinitely many primes that differ by at most N” has been reduced from 70,000,000 to 246. But when will we know whether N=2 or not?

    When will the Twin Prime Conjecture be resolved?

    The question will resolve on the date a proof that is mostly correct is published which demonstrates, beyond reasonable doubt of leading number theorists (except those who authored the relevant work), that the Twin Prime Conjecture is proved to be true or false. This question closes retroactively on the day before the proof’s publication when the consensus emerges. In the event that the conjecture is proven to be undecidable or independent of ZFC, the question will also resolve on the date of such proof.

    Categories:
    Mathematics – Pure Mathematics

    Make a Prediction

    Prediction

    Note: this question resolved before its original close time. All of your predictions came after the resolution, so you did not gain (or lose) any points for it.

    Note: this question resolved before its original close time. You earned points up until the question resolution, but not afterwards.

    Current points depend on your prediction, the community's prediction, and the result. Your total earned points are averaged over the lifetime of the question, so predict early to get as many points as possible! See the FAQ.