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What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by 2050 will be on well-populated areas?
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13 comments
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Total Forecasters
28
Community Prediction
4.27e-1
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Probability Density
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My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
1.328e-2
4.27e-1
8.8e-1
Background Info
Authors:
Metaculus-Partners
MichaelA
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
Nuclear winter
Nuclear Science and Techniques
Environmental science
Nuclear weapons testing
Peaceful nuclear explosion
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Authors:
Metaculus-Partners
MichaelA
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
Nuclear winter
Nuclear Science and Techniques
Environmental science
Nuclear weapons testing
Peaceful nuclear explosion
Submit Tags Feedback
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