25 comments
45 forecasters
Will there be a bilateral cease-fire of at least 30 days in the Tigray war before 2022?
13%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 13% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jul 6, 2021
Closes:Nov 8, 2021
Resolved:Jan 1, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 8, 2021
