Question

Will there be a bilateral cease-fire of at least 30 days in the Tigray war before 2022?

Resolved:No

25 comments25

Total Forecasters45

Community Prediction

13%

(6% - 25%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 13%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

48.0

Community Peer Score

8.4

Authors:

EvanHarper

Opened:

Jul 6, 2021

Closes:

Nov 8, 2021

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 8, 2021

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