Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
Log in
Sign Up
25
45
forecasters
12
25 comments
45 forecasters
Geopolitics
1 more...
Will there be a bilateral cease-fire of at least 30 days in the Tigray war before 2022?
Follow
share
embed
Resolved
No
Timeline
Histogram
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments (25)
Timeline
Key Factors (0)
Question Info
Similar Questions
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
7 comments
746 forecasters
Sudan ceasefire in 2026?
23%
chance
14 comments
38 forecasters
1,000 deaths from Egypt/Ethiopia Conflict
38%
chance
32 comments
957 forecasters
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire in 2026?
21%
chance
16 comments
15 forecasters
Civil Wars End in These Countries
South Sudan
result:
08 Aug 2023 12:00 UTC
Syria
result:
08 Dec 2024 UTC
Yemen
result:
04 Oct 2024 12:00 UTC
Libya
18 Apr 2029
2 others
29 comments
183 forecasters
Gaza war end and two state solution by 2030?
3.3%
chance
32 comments
143 forecasters
Trump Ukraine War Resolution
37%
chance
5 comments
20 forecasters
1000 deaths from Kyrgyz-Tajik Conflict
31.8%
chance
171 comments
390 forecasters
End of Ukraine conflict
Current estimate
16 Sep 2027