Question

Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022?

Resolved:Yes

17 comments17

Total Forecasters73

Community Prediction

97%

(93% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 97%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

38.2

Community Peer Score

3.9

Authors:

AvrahamEisenberg

Opened:

Jul 16, 2021

Closes:

Aug 15, 2021

Resolves:

Aug 15, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 17, 2021

Health & Pandemics

2021 Leaderboard

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

0.1%

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

How many measles cases will be reported in the United States in 2025?

1772

Authors:

AvrahamEisenberg

Opened:

Jul 16, 2021

Closes:

Aug 15, 2021

Resolves:

Aug 15, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 17, 2021

Health & Pandemics

2021 Leaderboard

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

0.1%

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

How many measles cases will be reported in the United States in 2025?

1772