Question

Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022?

Resolved:Yes

17 comments17

Total Forecasters71

Community Prediction

97%

(93% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 97%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Peer Score

3.9

Authors:

AvrahamEisenberg

Opened:

Jul 16, 2021

Closes:

Aug 15, 2021

Resolves:

Aug 15, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 17, 2021

Health & Pandemics

2021 Leaderboard

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

2.3%

How many measles cases will be reported in the United States in 2025?

1716

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

117k

Authors:

AvrahamEisenberg

Opened:

Jul 16, 2021

Closes:

Aug 15, 2021

Resolves:

Aug 15, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 17, 2021

Health & Pandemics

2021 Leaderboard

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?

2.3%

How many measles cases will be reported in the United States in 2025?

1716

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

117k