Question

Will the US have more than 1000 daily COVID-19 deaths (7-day rolling average) before 1 January 2022?

Resolved:Yes

35 comments35

Total Forecasters89

Community Prediction

99%

(95% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

4.9

Community Peer Score

11.6

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Jul 20, 2021

Closes:

Aug 31, 2021

Resolves:

Sep 2, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 20, 2021

Health & Pandemics

2021 Leaderboard

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

117k

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

0.1%

Will the US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index exceed its 2020 peak before 2029?

85%

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Jul 20, 2021

Closes:

Aug 31, 2021

Resolves:

Sep 2, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 20, 2021

Health & Pandemics

2021 Leaderboard

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

117k

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

0.1%

Will the US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index exceed its 2020 peak before 2029?

85%