35 comments
90 forecasters
Will the US have more than 1000 daily COVID-19 deaths (7-day rolling average) before 1 January 2022?
99%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 99% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jul 20, 2021
Closes:Aug 31, 2021
Resolved:Sep 2, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 20, 2021
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?
111k deaths/year
(85.2k - 179k)
111k deaths/year
(85.2k - 179k)
55 forecasters
Will the US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index exceed its 2020 peak before 2029?
85% chance
21
Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?
44% chance
34