Question
Will there be recurring virus-driven lockdowns during the period 2030-2050?
Total Forecasters25
Community Prediction
28%
(15% - 35%)
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 25, 2021
Closes:Jun 1, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 27, 2021
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
By five years after AGI, will an engineered pandemic have infected one billion people?
4%
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?
23%
Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?
66%
Authors:
Opened:Jul 25, 2021
Closes:Jun 1, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 27, 2021
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
By five years after AGI, will an engineered pandemic have infected one billion people?
4%
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?
23%
Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?
66%