Question

Will 3 mainstream American news outlets report that a rebel group perpetrated the 2013 Ghouta Chemical Attack before August 21, 2033?

8
23
Total Forecasters32
Community Prediction
45%
(41% - 49%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 45%
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
stanulamstan
Opened:Aug 17, 2021
Closes:Aug 21, 2033
Scheduled resolution:Aug 21, 2033
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 19, 2021
Natural Sciences
Geopolitics