Question

When will another SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Delta as the dominant variant in Virginia?

Resolved:25 Dec 2021
Total Forecasters48
Community Prediction
26 Dec 2021
(19 Dec 2021 - 04 Jan 2022)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%19 Dec 2021
median26 Dec 2021
upper 75%04 Jan 2022
Upper bound
>31 Dec 20221.0%

What was the final result?25 Dec 2021

Community Baseline Score
5.1
Community Peer Score
38.8
Opened:Aug 3, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2022
Resolves:Feb 3, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 5, 2021