98 forecasters

Will Israel recognize Palestine by 2070?

32%chance

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Authors:

Opened:

Aug 13, 2021

Closes:

May 14, 2048

Scheduled resolution:

Feb 2, 2070

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 15, 2021

The Real Reason to Recognize Palestine

Atlantic•Sep 30, 2025

Emmanuel Macron recognizes the State of Palestine

Voltaire Network•Sep 28, 2025

Does international recognition mean Palestine is going to be a state?

Al Jazeera•Sep 26, 2025

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