Your submission is now in Draft mode.

Once it's ready, please submit your draft for review by our team of Community Moderators. Thank you!

Submit Essay

Once you submit your essay, you can no longer edit it.


This content now needs to be approved by community moderators.


This essay was submitted and is waiting for review.

Date of next NASA Moon Landing


Related Questions on Metaculus:

The U.S. Artemis Program pushed to land U.S. astronauts on the Moon by 2024 under the Trump administration, but this goal is seeming increasingly unlikely. Some suggest the timeline was never really feasible at all.

Most recently, delays with two lunar-exploration spacesuits seem to put the 2024 timeline in even greater jeopardy.

Nonetheless, U.S. officials increasingly view lunar exploration as an element of Great Power Competition with Russia and China, and have strong incentives to keep to their ambitious timeline.

When will NASA next land astronauts on the Moon?

This question will resolve as the next date that NASA astronauts step on the lunar surface again.

If no such NASA landing occurs by December 31, 2039, the question will resolve as >December 31, 2039.

Make a Prediction


Note: this question resolved before its original close time. All of your predictions came after the resolution, so you did not gain (or lose) any points for it.

Note: this question resolved before its original close time. You earned points up until the question resolution, but not afterwards.

Current points depend on your prediction, the community's prediction, and the result. Your total earned points are averaged over the lifetime of the question, so predict early to get as many points as possible! See the FAQ.