Question
What will be the IPCC's best estimate of the transient climate response in 2100?
Total Forecasters11
Community Prediction
1.9 °C
(1.61 °C - 2.19 °C)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <0 °C | 0.4% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 1.608 °C | — |
| median | 1.899 °C | — |
| upper 75% | 2.191 °C | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >4 °C | 0.3% | — |
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Aug 15, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2049
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 17, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Aug 15, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2049
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 17, 2021