Question

What will the product of the global mean temperature anomaly with the IPCC's best estimate of TCR be in 2100?

Total Forecasters2
Community Prediction
3.91 °C²
(2.43 °C² - 5.77 °C²)

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<0 °C²3.9%
Quartiles
lower 25%2.431 °C²
median3.909 °C²
upper 75%5.773 °C²
Upper bound
>20 °C²0.1%
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Authors:
Opened:Nov 1, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2099
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 3, 2021