Question
How many UN member states will there be in 2070?
Total Forecasters18
Community Prediction
198 states
(194 states - 202 states)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <170 | 3.6% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 194 | — |
| median | 198 | — |
| upper 75% | 202.5 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >220 | 1.8% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Sep 4, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2070
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2070
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 6, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Sep 4, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2070
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2070
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 6, 2021