Question
When will the US elect a President who is not a Democrat or a Republican?
Total Forecasters48
Community Prediction
2082
(Oct 2059 - 2110)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Oct 2059 | — |
| median | 2082 | — |
| upper 75% | 2110 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2125 | 17.3% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Aug 20, 2021
Closes:Aug 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2125
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 21, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Aug 20, 2021
Closes:Aug 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2125
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 21, 2021
