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16 forecasters
Artificial Intelligence
2 more...
How many papers at the 2023 NeurIPS conference will have authors with Amazon affiliation?
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AI-authored paper published at NeurIPS, ICML, or ICLR before 2028?
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chance
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Number of New Leading AI Labs
0 or 1
49.8%
2 or 3
32.9%
4 or 5
11.9%
6 or 7
3.2%
2 others
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Highest percentage of compute capacity held by one organisation on Jan 1, 2028?
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22.7%
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AI to publish in a top scientific journal
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12 Nov 2027
1 comment
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Share of AI Publications from China
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48.2%
12 comments
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Will OpenAI, DeepMind, or Anthropic have revenue of at least $100B in 2027?
55%
chance
2 comments
56 forecasters
Major CSP buys PRC-designed AI chip by 2028?
OVH
14%
Amazon Web Services
5%
Microsoft Azure
5%
Google Cloud
3%
0 comments
7 forecasters
Scientific Articles Published