10 comments
32 forecasters
How many gold medals will the United States win at the 2022 International Math Olympiad?
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Nov 22, 2021
Closes:Jul 4, 2022
Resolved:Jul 15, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 23, 2021
When will an open-source AI win a Gold Medal in the International Math Olympiad?
15 Aug 2026
(26 Jun 2025 - 21 Mar 2028)
15 Aug 2026
(26 Jun 2025 - 21 Mar 2028)
296 forecasters
In what year will the XTX AI International Math Olympiad main prize be won?
20 forecasters
When will a publicly-available LLM achieve gold on the International Math Olympiad?
17 Jul 2026
(22 Mar 2026 - 14 Nov 2026)
17 Jul 2026
(22 Mar 2026 - 14 Nov 2026)
28 forecasters