Question

Will armed conflicts between India and Pakistan lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

12 comments12

Total Forecasters58

Community Prediction83%

Make a Prediction

community: 83%

median 83.0%mean 81.1%

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Pakistan

India–Pakistan relations

Kargil War

India

Partition of India

Indo-Pakistani wars and conflicts

Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between India and Pakistan in 2024?

Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

25%

Will armed conflict between Vietnam and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

20%

Comments

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Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Pakistan

India–Pakistan relations

Kargil War

India

Partition of India

Indo-Pakistani wars and conflicts

Tribal clashes in north-west Pakistan kill at least 11 people

Guardian•Oct 12, 2024

At least 11 killed in fighting between tribes in northwest Pakistan

Al Jazeera•Oct 13, 2024

How a temple killing sparked new tensions between India and Canada

Independent•Oct 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between India and Pakistan in 2024?

Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

25%

Will armed conflict between Vietnam and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

20%