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Question

Will armed conflicts between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) lead to at least 100 deaths before 2026?

Total Forecasters222
Community Prediction8%

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50%
community: 8%
median 8.0%mean 9.8%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
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Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:

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