Question

Ragnarök Question Series: if a nanotechnology catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

5 comments5

Total Forecasters79

Community Prediction

49%

(40% - 65%)

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50%

community: 49%

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Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Aug 21, 2021

Closes:

Dec 31, 2099

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2124

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 23, 2021

Ragnarök Series

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Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nanotechnology failure-mode?

2.5%

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

25%

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

23%