Question

Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 100 deaths and/or at least $1B 2021 USD in economic damage?

25
22
Total Forecasters140
Community Prediction
80%
(62% - 85%)

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50%
community: 80%
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Authors:
Charles
Opened:Sep 25, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2031
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2032
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 27, 2021
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence