Question

What percentage of 5-11 year olds in Virginia will have received at least one dose of COVID-19 vaccine by end of 2021?

Resolved:31.8

7 comments7

Total Forecasters24

Community Prediction

20.3

(6.65 - 34.9)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%
community	6.65	20.28	34.89
My Prediction	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	6.65	—
median	20.28	—
upper 75%	34.89	—

What was the final result?31.8

Community Baseline Score

22.9

Community Peer Score

34.3

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners srinivv

Opened:

Aug 25, 2021

Closes:

Aug 29, 2021

Resolves:

Jan 5, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 25, 2021

Virginia Lightning Round Tournament

Virginia Lightning Round: Week 3

Health & Pandemics

2021 Leaderboard

What will be the national kindergarten measles vaccination rate in the US for the 2028-2029 school year?

What will be the national kindergarten measles vaccination rate in the US for the 2029-2030 school year?

90.1

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

43%

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners srinivv

Opened:

Aug 25, 2021

Closes:

Aug 29, 2021

Resolves:

Jan 5, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 25, 2021

Virginia Lightning Round Tournament

Virginia Lightning Round: Week 3

Health & Pandemics

2021 Leaderboard

What will be the national kindergarten measles vaccination rate in the US for the 2028-2029 school year?

What will be the national kindergarten measles vaccination rate in the US for the 2029-2030 school year?

90.1

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

43%