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18 comments
138 forecasters

Will Republicans win control of the US House of Representatives in 2024?

45%chance
45%chance
ResolvedYes
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 45% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
TomL
Opened:Sep 1, 2021
Closes:Nov 5, 2024
Resolved:Nov 25, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 3, 2021
Elections
2021-2025 Leaderboard
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Will the Democrats control the House of Representatives at any point before Jan 3, 2027?

14% chance
21

Which party will hold a plurality in the US House of Representatives after the 2026 midterm elections?

Democrats
68.8%
Republicans
31.1%
Other
0.1%
443 forecasters

Which party will control the US Congress following the 2026 midterm elections?

Rep Senate / Dem House
66.1%
Rep Senate / Rep House
18.4%
Dem Senate / Dem House
14.5%
1 other
23 forecasters
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