Question
What will South Africa's Fragile States Index score be in 2022?
Resolved:72Total Forecasters21
Community Prediction
69.4
(66.5 - 71.8)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <60 | 2.6% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 66.52 | — |
| median | 69.43 | — |
| upper 75% | 71.82 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >90 | 0.1% | — |
What was the final result?72
Community Baseline Score
66.1
Community Peer Score
4.8
Authors:
Opened:Sep 1, 2021
Closes:Apr 4, 2022
Resolves:Feb 28, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 3, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Sep 1, 2021
Closes:Apr 4, 2022
Resolves:Feb 28, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 3, 2021