Your submission is now a Draft.

Once it's ready, please submit your draft for review by our team of Community Moderators. Thank you!

You have been invited to co-author this question.

When it is ready, the author will submit it for review by Community Moderators. Thanks for helping!

Pending

This question now needs to be approved by community moderators.

You have been invited to co-author this question.

It now needs to be approved by community moderators. Thanks for helping!

% VA PCR Test Positivity on 18 September

Healthy Communities Virginia Lightning Round Tournament

Question

As a consequence of the Delta variant surge, there is increased testing occurring across Virginia. A key uncertainty is whether the number of SARS-CoV-2 tests that will be administered in Virginia will keep pace with the number of new cases — maintaining adequate testing levels is important for capturing positive COVID-19 cases.

On 20 August, the 7-day moving average of PCR percent positivity by lab report date for all health districts was 9.8%.

What will be the 7-day moving average of PCR percent positivity by lab report date in Virginia on 18 September?

This will resolve as the 7-day moving average of the "Percent Positivity by Lab Report Date - All Health Districts, PCR Only" on the VDH testing dashboard as of 18 September.

If the positivity rate exceeds 30%, then this resolves as ">30"

Make a Prediction

Prediction

Note: this question resolved before its original close time. All of your predictions came after the resolution, so you did not gain (or lose) any points for it.

Note: this question resolved before its original close time. You earned points up until the question resolution, but not afterwards.

Current points depend on your prediction, the community's prediction, and the result. Your total earned points are averaged over the lifetime of the question, so predict early to get as many points as possible! See the FAQ.