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9
49
forecasters
7
9 comments
49 forecasters
Computing and Math
1 more...
Will there be a female Fields Medalist in 2022?
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Yes
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2036
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2030
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2026
result:
No
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Date of next Millennium Prize Problem award
Current estimate
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Current estimate
2092
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Next Millenium Prize Problem Solved by AI
35.6%
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Current estimate
17 Oct 2026
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IMO AI Prize
2026
78%
2027
17%
2028 or later
3%
2024 or before
result:
No
2025
result:
No
15 comments
129 forecasters
Wolram, Gorard, Piskunov, Physics Nobel
1%
chance
5 comments
30 forecasters
Will a woman be elected US president by 2044?
60%
chance