Question

When will the US implement a national carbon tax or carbon pricing mechanism?

1 comment1

Total Forecasters28

Community Prediction

Dec 2032

(23 Jul 2029 - Jun 2038)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>Jan 2050
community	23 Jul 2029	Dec 2032	Jun 2038	9.0%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	23 Jul 2029	—
median	Dec 2032	—
upper 75%	Jun 2038	—
Upper bound
>Jan 2050	9.0%	—

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Add key factor

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Sep 10, 2021

Closes:

Jan 3, 2031

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 3, 2050

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 12, 2021

Environment & Climate

Politics

Perspective Needed To Assess Carbon Prices And Carbon Dioxide Removal

Forbes•Jun 18, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will a carbon price be paid on 50% or more of the world's carbon emissions?

Jun 2036

When will countries making up a combined share of global GDP of 50% or more have a carbon tax?

May 2037

Will the EU rank above the US and China every year until 2030, according to the Climate Change Performance Index?

95%