Question
What will be the number of conflicts with critical impacts on U.S. interests by 2023?
Resolved:6Total Forecasters24
Community Prediction
5.86
(4.96 - 6.67)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 4.958 | — |
| median | 5.862 | — |
| upper 75% | 6.674 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >15 | 0.1% | — |
What was the final result?6
Community Baseline Score
107.3
Community Peer Score
8.2
Authors:
Opened:Oct 3, 2021
Closes:Mar 3, 2022
Resolves:Jan 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 5, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Oct 3, 2021
Closes:Mar 3, 2022
Resolves:Jan 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 5, 2021
