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Created by: Pablo and
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Make a Prediction

Prediction

The Effective Altruism Wiki is a wiki about effective altruism and related topics hosted on the Effective Altruism Forum. It was launched in March 2021.

As of 2 September 2021, articles published on the Wiki comprise a total of 111,000 words of content. Some of this content (perhaps one third of it) was imported from Effective Altruism Concepts, a precursor to the Wiki created in 2017 which is no longer active. A fraction of the remaining content (perhaps one half of it) was written by Pablo over a six-month period preceding the launch of the Wiki. The rest was created since the Wiki launched, by both paid and volunteer contributors.

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This is the first in a series of six questions about the EA Wiki, aimed to generate information of potential value to wiki editors, funders, and other interested parties.

  1. How many words of content will have been published?
  2. What fraction of total traffic to the EA Forum will be Wiki traffic?
  3. What fraction of total content will have been written by volunteer contributors?
  4. How fast will the EA Wiki grow relative to the LessWrong Wiki?
  5. What will be the quality of the best articles?
  6. Will the Wiki be "alive"?