Your submission is now in Draft mode.

Once it's ready, please submit your draft for review by our team of Community Moderators. Thank you!

Submit Essay

Once you submit your essay, you can no longer edit it.


This content now needs to be approved by community moderators.


This essay was submitted and is waiting for review.

EA Wiki Fraction of EA Forum traffic


The Effective Altruism Wiki is a wiki about effective altruism and related topics hosted on the Effective Altruism Forum. It was launched in March 2021.

Currently, EA Wiki page views account for around 5% of all EA Forum page views, according to Google Analytics.


This is the second in a series of six questions about the EA Wiki, aimed to generate information of potential value to wiki editors, funders, and other interested parties.

  1. How many words of content will have been published?
  2. What fraction of total traffic to the EA Forum will be Wiki traffic?
  3. What fraction of total content will have been written by volunteer contributors?
  4. How fast will the EA Wiki grow relative to the LessWrong Wiki?
  5. What will be the quality of the best articles?
  6. Will the Wiki be "alive"?

By 2023, what fraction of total traffic to the Effective Altruism Forum will be traffic to the Effective Altruism Wiki?

The question will resolve according to Google Analytics data, dividing EA Wiki page views by EA Forum page views for the calendar month immediately preceding the resolution date (i.e. December 2022). EA Wiki page views will be calculated by filtering for pages that include /tag/ as part of their URL. EA Forum page views will be calculated by filtering for pages on the forum subdomain of

If the canonical URL of either the EA Wiki or the EA Forum changes, the relevant adjustments will be made, as long as it is sufficiently clear whether a given page is or isn't part of the EA Wiki and/or the EA Forum.

Effective Altruism

Make a Prediction


Note: this question resolved before its original close time. All of your predictions came after the resolution, so you did not gain (or lose) any points for it.

Note: this question resolved before its original close time. You earned points up until the question resolution, but not afterwards.

Current points depend on your prediction, the community's prediction, and the result. Your total earned points are averaged over the lifetime of the question, so predict early to get as many points as possible! See the FAQ.