Question
What will the space traveler fatality rate due to spacecraft anomalies be in the 2020's?
Total Forecasters27
Community Prediction
0.00156%
(<0.001% - 0.18%)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <0.001% | 46.2% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | <0.001% | — |
| median | 0.001565% | — |
| upper 75% | 0.1801% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Sep 23, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 25, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Sep 23, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 25, 2021