Question

Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections?

Resolved:Yes

48 comments48

Total Forecasters301

Community Prediction

27%

(20% - 36%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 27%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Peer Score

44.8

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Apr 15, 2018

Closes:

Mar 15, 2019

Resolves:

Dec 19, 2019

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 16, 2018

Elections

Politics

2018-2019 Leaderboard

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New York Post•Jun 25, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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Will the Department of Justice announce an investigation or prosecution of a Democrat who served as president, vice president, congressional leader, whip, or impeachment manager before 2026?

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Will the Democrats control the House of Representatives at any point before Jan 3, 2027?

16%