Question
When will the Mars helicopter Ingenuity stop making successful flights for 6 months?
Resolved:19 Jan 2024Total Forecasters25
Community Prediction
10 Nov 2022
(29 May 2022 - 31 Jul 2023)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 29 May 2022 | — |
| median | 10 Nov 2022 | — |
| upper 75% | 31 Jul 2023 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Jan 2030 | 0.5% | — |
What was the final result?19 Jan 2024
Community Baseline Score
16.0
Community Peer Score
26.5
Authors:
Opened:Sep 13, 2021
Closes:Jan 2, 2022
Resolves:Jul 19, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 15, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Sep 13, 2021
Closes:Jan 2, 2022
Resolves:Jul 19, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 15, 2021