155 comments
285 forecasters
Will there be ≥ 100 deaths due to conflict between Israel and Hezbollah before 2030?
99%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 99% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Oct 3, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Resolved:Nov 21, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 5, 2021